"ALL CAPS IN DEFENSE OF LIBERTY IS NO VICE."

Thursday, July 31, 2014

UH-OH: ARGENTINA TIME SET TO DEFAULT FOR SECOND TIME THIS AFTERNOON...

BBC:
Argentina has defaulted on its debt - for the second time in 13 years - after last-minute talks in New York with a group of bond-holders ended in failure. So-called "vulture fund" investors were demanding a full pay-out of $1.3bn (£766m) on bonds they hold. Argentina has said it cannot afford to do so, and has accused them of using its debt problems to make a big profit. A US judge had set a deadline of 04:00 GMT on Thursday for a deal. The crisis stems from Argentina's 2001 default.
Late on Wednesday evening, Argentina's Economy Minister Axel Kicillof said the investors had rejected the government's latest offer. 
"Unfortunately, no agreement was reached and the Republic of Argentina will imminently be in default," Daniel Pollack, the court-appointed mediator in the case, said in a statement on Wednesday evening. But Axel Kicillof's lengthy address on Wednesday evening dashed those hopes - Argentina was not going to agree to anything that would compromise the country. At the heart of this is a feeling that Argentina has been treated badly by the international financial system. Mr Kicillof made the point that the vultures always win and the people lose. Just before the announcement was made there was a small rally in Buenos Aires' Plaza de Mayo, people handing out leaflets saying that the country wouldn't negotiate. No doubt those people will be happy with the stand that Argentina has taken, but a default will make life harder. The country is already in recession and inflation is high.
Most people think the issue is too complicated - what they do know is that they want to just get on with their lives, whether the vultures are circling or not. The latest default is expected to exacerbate problems in Argentina's recession-hit economy, analysts say. 
However, the effect will not compare with the consequences of the country's economic meltdown in 2001-02, when savers' accounts were frozen to stop a run on the banks and violent street protests led to dozens of deaths. "The full consequences of default are not predictable, but they certainly are not positive," Mr Pollack said.
STAY TUNED: THIS AND THE END OF QUANTITATIVE EASING MIGHT TRIGGER A STAMPEDE TO THE EXITS AND A CRASH...

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