MOSCOW. (Oleg Sorokhtin for RIA Novosti) – Stock up on fur coats and felt
boots! This is my paradoxical advice to the warm world.
Earth is now at the peak of one of its passing warm spells. It started
in the 17th century when there was no industrial influence on the climate to
speak of and no such thing as the hothouse effect. The current warming is
evidently a natural process and utterly independent of hothouse gases.
The real reasons for climate changes are uneven solar radiation,
terrestrial precession (that is, axis gyration), instability of oceanic
currents, regular salinity fluctuations of the Arctic Ocean surface waters, etc.
There is another, principal reason—solar activity and luminosity. The greater
they are the warmer is our climate.
Astrophysics knows two solar activity cycles, of 11 and 200 years. Both
are caused by changes in the radius and area of the irradiating solar surface.
The latest data, obtained by Habibullah Abdusamatov, head of the Pulkovo
Observatory space research laboratory, say that Earth has passed the peak of its
warmer period, and a fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012. Real
cold will come when solar activity reaches its minimum, by 2041, and will last
for 50-60 years or even longer.
When I was in college (back in the 80's), I was assured by my college professors that horrible calamities were set to befall us. There was an ice age coming, and we were going to run out of oil by the early 90's.
I believed them.
When the mid-nineties rolled around, I realized I had been duped.
I've never believed in man-made Global Warming. And now, it looks as if I was right:
… The fact is that the global temperature of 2007 is statistically the same
as 2006 as well as every year since 2001. Global warming has, temporarily or
permanently, ceased. Temperatures across the world are not increasing as they
should according to the fundamental theory behind global warming – the
greenhouse effect.
Something else is happening and it is vital that we find out what or else
we may spend hundreds of billions of pounds needlessly.… For the past decade the
world has not warmed. Global warming has stopped.
It’s not a viewpoint or a sceptic’s inaccuracy. It’s an observational
fact….
So we are led to the conclusion that either the hypothesis of carbon
dioxide induced global warming holds but its effects are being modified in what
seems to be an improbable though not impossible way, or, and this really is
heresy according to some, the working hypothesis does not stand the test of
data.
(Sigh)
Sadly, it looks as if another Ice Age is on the way.
Posted Fri Oct 5, 2007 6:26pm AEST Updated Fri Oct 5, 2007 7:00pm
AEST
Warming around the Greenland ice sheet may impede a 'conveyor belt' effect
in the ocean that is currently keeping Europe out of an ice age:
Australia is firming as the destination of choice for what are becoming
known as climate change refugees. A new study from the Australian National
University (ANU) has found that this country may not be as severely affected by
a new ice age as countries in the Northern Hemisphere.
Alas, the Ice Age to which they refer is caused by Global Warming.
Ice Age - Global Warming - Ice AgeIt's all part of the Circle of Life.
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