WE FLOATED THE POSSIBILITY OF A DOUBLE-DIGIT WIN BY SCOTT BROWN YESTERDAY. NOW, A DOUBLE-DIGIT WIN IT SEEMS LIKELY!
(ROUND UP HERE.)
SO NOW WE ASK:
CAN SCOTT BROWN WIN MASSACHUSETTS WITH A MARGIN COMPARABLE TO TEDDY'S PERENNIAL WINS?
LET'S TAKE A LOOK...
Here's how well Teddy did over the years:
THAT'S AN AVERAGE WINNING MARGIN OF 32%!
- 11/07/2006 MA US Senate Won 69.30% (+38.75%)
- 11/07/2000 MA US Senate Won 72.61% (+59.73%)
- 11/08/1994 MA US Senate Won 58.07% (+17.06%)
- 11/08/1988 MA US Senate Won 64.97% (+31.04%)
- 11/05/1982 MA US Senate Won 60.82% (+22.55%)
- 11/02/1976 MA US Senate Won 69.31% (+40.30%)
- 11/03/1970 MA US Senate Won 62.16% (+25.16%)
- 11/03/1964 MA US Senate Won 74.26% (+48.84%)
- 11/06/1962 MA US Senate - Special Election Won 52.92% (+8.42%)
IT'S NOT LIKELY THAT SCOTT BROWN WILL DO THAT - NOT UNTIL HIS REELECTION!
BUT SCOTT BROWN COULD DO AS WELL OR BETTER THAN TEDDY DID IN HIS FIRST ELECTION - 1962'S SPECIAL ELECTION - 8.42%.
- I PREDICT THAT SCOTT BROWN'S MARGIN WILL MATCH OR EXCEED TEDDY'S 1962 SPECIAL ELECTION MARGIN.
- THAT MEANS : BROWN 54% ; COAKLEY 45% AND KENNEDY 1%.
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