"ALL CAPS IN DEFENSE OF LIBERTY IS NO VICE."

Wednesday, August 24, 2005

THE BETTING ODDS FOR 2008, RIGHT NOW...

In lieu of PATRICK RUFFINI'S STRAW POLL, I thought I'd post the current odds from bookmakers who put their money where YOUR mouth is:

#1 - Hillary Clinton 3 - 1 ------------------------------------- #11- Jeb Bush 20 - 1
#2 - Rudolph Giuliani 6 - 1 -------------------------- #12 - Rick Santorum 20 - 1
#3 - Bill Richardson 12 - 1 -------------------------- #13 - Mitch Romney 20 - 1
#4 - John Edwards 12 - 1 ------------------------------ #14 - Tom Vilsack 25 - 1
#5 - John McCain 14 - 1 ----------------------------- #15 - George Pataki 25 - 1
#6 - Evan Bayh 14 - 1 ---------------------------------- #16 - Chuck Hagel 25 - 1
#7 - Condoleezza Rice 14 - 1 --------------------- #17 - Barack Obama 25 - 1
#8 - Bill Frist 16 - 1 -------------------------------- #18 - Schwarzenegger 25 - 1
#9 - Tom Ridge 16 - 1 --------------------------------- #19 - Tom Daschle 33 - 1
#10 - George Allen 20 - 1 --------------------------------- #20 - John Kerry 50 - 1

[Above is according to PADDY POWER.] Here's another read of the "top ten" in the race from bet365 and William Hill (one buck'll getchya):

Hilary Clinton 4
Rudolph Giuliani 7
John McCain 9
John Edwards 11
Bill Richardson 13
Condoleezza Rice 15
Tom Ridge 15
Bill First 17
Jeb Bush 17
Colin Powell 21
George Pataki 21

I think the best candidate for the job is TOM RIDGE: he could hold all the Bush/Blue states PLUS pick up Pennsylvania and New Jersey. I think he'd have an easier time holding Ohio and picking up the Midwestern states which Bush did well in, but did not carry. Ridge is a former governor, a 6-term Congressman, and a decorated Vietnam Vet. He is a Roman Catholic. Paired with a southern or Midwestern Protestant, (like Allen or Pawlenty), he'd be unstoppable. Even paired with fellow Catholic Jeb, he'd still be unstoppable. He is a warm man and a tireless and effective candidate - you DON'T win the guvnaship in PA and hold it very popularly by being a stiff. He is tough on crime, too. He is a pro-choice Catholic, like Giuliani - which hurts them both. Otherwise, he has a lot less baggage than Rudy. (The jerk Hagel is 41-to-one. MORE ON HAGEL HERE - at ABP, hat tip MICHELLE MALKIN.)

4 comments:

Pat in NC said...

John edwards was worthless as a senator so I cannot imagine him as president.

Fred Fry said...

Nice suggestion for putting up TOM RIDGE.

From what I can tell, the Dems are going to shoot themselves in the foot again and pile on the bandwagon for another candidate who afterwards will cause all the Dems to have election hangover wondering how they ended up with their 08 man/woman...

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