EXAMPLE:
"Poll shows Obama up in Ohio 51-46"
"The party breakdown of the randomly selected respondents:THEY OVER-SAMPLED DEMS BY SIX SO THEREFORE, OBAMA "LEADS" ROMNEY BY SIX.
48 percent Democrats,
42 percent Republicans,
10 percent independents. "
DUH.
ONE PROBLEM:
THAT'S NOT THE LIKELY PARTY ID SPREAD OF THE VOTER TURNOUT IN 2012 IN OHIO.
OR NATIONALLY.
BY ALL INDICATIONS, FEWER OBAMANUTZ WILL TURN OUT THIS YEAR AS OPPOSED TO 2008 - AND SINCE ROMNEY WILL GET MORE INDEPENDENTS THIS TIME, ROMNEY WILL WIN BY 6%.
AND THE ABOVE POLL - ONCE IT'S DECODED - CONFIRMS THAT.
SO DON'T LET THE FAKE - UN-DECODED - POLLS GET YOU DOWN.
IOW:
ILLEGITIMUM POLI NON CARBORUNDUM.
No comments:
Post a Comment