THE CLOSING OF THE STRAITS OF HORMUZ: BOLTON SAW ALL THIS IN 2009

TAB 2 YEARS AGO:

THURSDAY, JUNE 11, 2009

BOLTON: IF ISRAEL ATTACKS IRAN IT WOULD BE AWFUL, BUT A NUCLEAR IRAN WOULD BE WORSE

BOLTON:

Consider the most-often mentioned Iranian responses to a possible Israeli strike:

1) Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz. ...
2) Iran cuts its own oil exports to raise world prices. ...
3) Iran attacks U.S. forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. ...
4) Iran increases support for global terrorism. ...
5) Iran launches missile attacks on Israel. ...
6) Iran unleashes Hamas and Hezbollah against Israel.

... This brief survey demonstrates why Israel's military option against Iran's nuclear program is so unattractive, but also why failing to act is even worse. All these scenarios become infinitely more dangerous once Iran has deliverable nuclear weapons.

WHAT IF THE IRANIANS HAVE NUKES NOW?

AND WHAT IF THIS WAR-GAMES STUNT ISN'T A WAR-GAMES STUNT BUT A POWER GRAB?

AND WHAT IF THEY CLOSE THE STRAITS AND SAY THEY WON'T OPEN THEM UNTIL ISRAEL RETREATS TO 1949 BORDERS?

ACCORDING TO OBAMA'S MODEL - JIMMY CARTER WHO ENUNCIATED THE CARTER DOCTRINE IN 1980 - THE GULF OIL IS A NATIONAL AND GLOBAL SECURITY RESOURCE AND WE WILL GO TO WAR TO DEFEND IT.

WOULD OBAMA ENFORCE THE CARTER DOCTRINE?

SOME REPORTER SHOULD ASK HIM.