Jay Cost has written a piece showing why Obama probably is gonna lose in 2012.
I mostly agree, but there is ONE way Obama can win:
A credible 3 or 4 way race in which two or three other candidates jump in and tip it for Obama who wins with less than 50% - like Clinton.
Nader, Paul, Huntsman and Palin ... they could tip it for Obama.
Just as a third party candidate did in NY26.
Too make it worse, perhaps Obama dunps Biden - from the itsybitsyteenyweeny state od Delaware and picks Huntsman, Bill Nelson or Warner as veep - to appeal to the cemter and maybe grab/hold a big electoral vote state.
And then - to counter - Romney picks a RINO like Christie or Rudy even Daniels.
So... Paul runs. And MAYBE even Palin jumps in - or Bachmann.
Then I think Obama wins.
Repeat: NY26 showed them how to do it.
NY26 was the dry run.
ONE WAY TO STOP IT:
PERRY WINS THE NOMINATION AND PICKS PAWLENTY. OR KASICH. OR RUBIO.
I THINK THESE TICKETS MIGHT BE UNBEATABLE.