WASHINGTON — The decade ending in 2009 was the warmest on record, new surface temperature figures released Thursday by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration show.LET'S TAKE A BREATH AND BREAK THAT DOWN:
The agency also found that 2009 was the second warmest year since 1880, when modern temperature measurement began. The warmest year was 2005. The other hottest recorded years have all occurred since 1998, NASA said.
James E. Hansen, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, said that global temperatures varied because of changes in ocean heating and cooling cycles. “When we average temperature over 5 or 10 years to minimize that variability,” said Dr. Hansen, one of the world’s leading climatologists, “we find global warming is continuing unabated.”
A separate preliminary analysis from another NASA office, the National Climatic Data Center, found that 2009 tied with 2006 as the fifth warmest year on record, based on measurements taken on land and at sea. The data center report, published earlier this week, also cited the years 2000 to 2009 as the warmest decade ever measured. The new temperature figures provide evidence in the scientific discussion of global warming but are not likely to be the last word on whether the planet’s temperature is on a consistent upward path.
THE HEADLINE SAYS THE WARMEST EVER, BUT REALLY JUST SINCE THERE WERE RECORDS - OR 1880.
THAT'S NOT AND WHERE NEAR "EVER".
AS A MATTER OF FACT, THE MEDIEVAL WARMING ERA WAS WARMER - DESPITE THE FACT THAT THE CRU TRIED TO HIDE THAT ERA'S WARMTH JUST HARD AS THEY TRIED TO HIDE OUR ERA'S COOLNESS. (MORE ON THE MWE HERE.)
FACT: GLOBAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IS A MEANINGLESS NUMBER - USELESS EXCEPT AS A TOOL FOR ALARMIST PROPAGANDA:
global mean temperature is irrelevant for you and for everyone else, too. It didn't help the hundreds of frozen people in India, the passengers whose flights were canceled, and millions of other people in the European, Asian, and American civilization centers.
If you actually draw the monthly data from 1979 to 2009 - the global ones and those in e.g. Prague - you will find out that the correlation coefficient is just 0.17 - well below the maximum possible value of 1.00. It won't be much higher outside Prague, either. :-)
The Pythagorean average monthly anomaly in Prague has been something like 1.95 °C. Imagine that you want to use the global temperature in order to improve the estimate of the temperature in Prague for a given month. If you add the global anomaly and the expected local average temperature in Prague for the month, you will reduce the typical fluctuation from 1.95 °C to 1.92 °C or so - almost no change. The swings in the global temperature won't visibly help you to improve the predictions of the local temperature.
So while it may be fun to watch the global temperature - a meaningless game that many people began to play in recent years because of the AGW fad (and yes, your humble correspondent only plays these games because others do, not because it is scientifically important) - it is very important to realize that the changes of the global mean temperature are irrelevant for every single place on the globe. They only emerge when things are averaged over the globe - but no one is directly affected by such an average.
Even if you accumulate a whole century of changes, the relevance of the global temperature will be essentially non-existent. A 1.5 °C warming of the global mean temperature is still less than one standard deviation of the monthly average at a given place. And the "local" climate may also shift - the January 2100-2150 average may be warmer than the January 1950-2000 average in Prague by much more than those 1.5 °C. Different regional climates change differently and most of these changes have nothing to do with the changes of the global mean temperature!
By the way, it's almost certain by now that January 2010 will also be the globally warmest January on the UAH record - the anomaly will likely surpass 0.70 °C. It may even see the highest (or at least 2nd highest) monthly UAH anomaly since December 1978. I will print more exact predictions in a week or so.
FACT: THE GISS AND NOAA CHERRY-PICKED WEATHER STATIONS AS SURELY AS THE CRU CHERRY-PICKED TREES - AND CHERRY-PICKED WEATHER STATIONS. (AND IGNORED LOCAL WEATHER RECORDS.)
AGW = BS.
- IF YOU IGNORE AND TRY TO SUPPRESS FACTS WHICH CONTROVERT YOUR THEORY, AND IGNORE AND TRY TO SUPPORESS SCIENTISTS WHO DISAGREE -
- AND IF YOU USE A CLEVER (BUT ACTUALLY MEANINGLESS) PROPAGANDISTIC QUOTIENT LIKE "MEAN GLOBAL TEMPERATURE" -
- THEN YOU'RE GONNA FOOL A LOT OF PEOPLE -
- BUT NOT ALL THE PEOPLE.
- AND NOT ALL THE TIME.
THE ALARMISTS HAVE RUN OUT OF PEOPLE TO FOOL AND THEY HAVE RUN OUT OF TIME TIME.