"ALL CAPS IN DEFENSE OF LIBERTY IS NO VICE."

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

A LOOK AT TODAY'S EERILY SIMILAR STOCK INDEX CHARTS

THIS WAS TODAY'S S&P 500:


THIS WAS TODAY'S DJIA:


THIS WAS TODAY'S NASDAQ:


EACH OF THESE INDEXES HAVE ENTIRELY DIFFERENT MAKE-UPS, YET THEY MOVED IN COMPLETE LOCKSTEP TODAY.

THIS HAS HAPPENED A LOT LATELY. AND IT TRUE OF MANY REGIONAL INDICES OVERSEAS, TOO.
  • I THINK ITS A REFLECTION OF THE EMOTIONAL NATURE OF THE CURRENT MARKETS AND NOT THE UNDERLYING VALUE OF ANY PARTICULAR STOCK - OR INDEX.
  • IT PROVES MOST PEOPLE - AND TRADERS AND FUNDS - ARE STILL IN PANIC MODE, REACTING TO BROAD NEWS AND RUMORS AND NOT TO MARKET SPECIFIC OR EVEN MARKET-SEGMENT SPECIFIC NEWS. AND ESPECIALLY NOT COMPANY SPECIFIC NEWS.
  • IT'S TIME FOR THIS PANIC TO STOP.
  • HERE'S WHY:
  • MANY GREAT PUBLIC COMPANIES ARE NOW TRADING AT HISTORICALLY LOW P/E RATIOS.
  • AND IF RECENT ANALYSIS IS CORRECT, THEN WE ARE ALREADY 1 YEAR INTO THIS RECESSION.
  • WHICH MEANS WE ARE AT MOST A YEAR AWAY FROM RECOVERY.
  • EMPLOYMENT MIGHT LAG, BUT STOCK PRICES WILL NOT - SO IF YOU'RE WAITING FOR UNEMPLOYMENT TO STOP RISING, OR GO DOWN, BEFORE YOU INVEST, THEN YOU'RE GONNA MISS THE BOAT.
  • STOCKS MIGHT GET CHEAPER - THEY MIGHT NOT; EITHER WAY, THE VALUE OF MOST GOOD STOCKS TODAY IS GOOD ENOUGH IF YOU CAN BUY & HOLD.

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