"ALL CAPS IN DEFENSE OF LIBERTY IS NO VICE."

Saturday, October 11, 2008

THE POLLS ARE BULLSHIT: IT'S REALLY CLOSE!

NRO:

HORSERACE

Does Newsweek Really Stand By This Poll?

Dear friends at Newsweek...

Just to clarify...

You have McCain winning Republicans, 89 to 7. You have Obama winning Democrats, 91 to 5. (I'm a bit skeptical, but for now, for the sake of argument, I'll accept your assertion that PUMAs are extinct.) You have McCain winning independents by 2 percent, 45 to 43.

And this adds up to an 11-percent Obama lead in your latest poll.

We are to believe that McCain is losing among women by 9 percent, but losing among men by 14 percent.

We are to believe that the Hillary voters are lining up behind Obama, 88 percent to 7 percent.

We are to believe Obama is winning 18 to 34-year-olds by 10 percent, but he is winning 45 to 64-year-olds by 16 percent.

We are to believe the white vote is just about even, 46 percent for Obama, 47 percent for McCain.

And we are to believe the electorate in November will be 27 percent Republican, 40 percent Democrat, and 30 percent Independent.

If the over/under on the partisan breakdown on Election Day is 13 percent, I'd take the under. I wonder if anybody in Vegas would take that wager...

  • DON'T STOP FIGHTIN' BABY!
  • WE CAN WIN THIS THING!
  • NEVER GIVE UP!
  • NEVER, NEVER, NEVER, NEVER, NEVER, NEVER.

No comments: