THE ASTUTE BLOGGERS SCOOPS THE TELEGRAPH'S WARNER: Cameron lost because he went soft on the EU

WARNER/TELEGRAPH TODAY:

Another, more easily documented aspect of the Tory defeat (for that is what it was) relates to UKIP. As is being widely advertised across the blogosphere, in at least 21 constituencies the UKIP vote was larger than the Labour or Liberal Democrat majority over the Tories.

Since it is universally recognised that the overwhelming majority of UKIP voters are disgruntled Tories, that is how the Eurosceptic wing of the Conservative core vote took its revenge on Cast-Iron Cameron. I shall not replicate the results here, since they have already gone “viral” online; but the figures are incontrovertible: even if you subtract 10, 20, or 30 per cent from the UKIP vote in those seats, to allow for minor defection from other parties, the UKIP votes still outnumber the anti-Tory majority. After the postponed election in Thirsk, the Tories will have 307 parliamentary seats; the seats lost through UKIP would have brought that up to 328, a clear overall majority.

Again, Dave’s arrogance, his dismissal of “fruitcakes and closet racists” and reneging on his “cast-iron” guarantee of a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty cost him an overall majority.

HAD CAMERON RUN A BIT MORE TO THE RIGHT, THE UKIP WOULD HAVE SUPPORTED THEM AND THE TORIES WOULD HAVE WON A MAJORITY WITH AN ANTI-EU MANDATE.

INSTEAD, THE TORIES WILL PROBABLY MANAGE A COALITION GOVERNMENT WITHOUT ANY MANDATE FOR ANYTHING TRULY CONSERVATIVE.

PITY.

WE POSTED THIS TWO DAYS AGO - ON SATURDAY.

REGULAR READERS KNOW THAT WE SCOOP ALL THE BIGGIES ALL THE TIME.

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