"ALL CAPS IN DEFENSE OF LIBERTY IS NO VICE."

Tuesday, July 06, 2010

THE WRITING ON THE WALL FOR NOVEMBER 2010

From U.S. News and World Report:
...Historically, presidents with approval ratings below 50 percent—Obama is at 45—lose an average of 41 House seats in midterm elections. This year, that would return the House of Representatives to Republican control. The Democrats will suffer disproportionately from a climate in which so many Americans are either dissatisfied or angry with the government, for Democrats are in the large majority in both houses and have to defend many more districts than Republicans. In any election year, voters' feelings typically settle in by June. But now they are being further hardened by the loose regulation that preceded the poisonous oil spill—and the tardy government response.

[...]

It is clear that the magical moment of Obama's campaign conveyed a spell that is now broken in the context of the growing public disillusionment. Obama's rise has been spectacular, but so too has been his fall.
How will Obama react to the coming meltdown of the Democratic Party's power?

3 comments:

Ron Russell said...

I like your numbers, I was familiar with the past trends, but not the exact numbers. Like you, I think this will be a great election year for those of us with common sense, something that's lacking on the other side.

Ron Russell said...

Linked to this post at National Tea Party. The numbers look good, but we must not get over confident!

Always On Watch said...

Ron,
The numbers look good, but we must not get over confident!

Yes. I agree completely.