Monday, September 06, 2010

NATE SILVER/NYTIMES: GOP HAS AS GOOD A CHANCE AT GETTING 50-51 SEATS AS DEMOCRATS DO AT GETTING BETWEEN 52 & 54

THAT'S NOT HOW SILVER IS SPINNING IT, BUT IT'S WHAT HIS NUMBERS ACTUALLY SAY.
  • RIGHT NOW THE ODDS ARE THAT THE DEMS WIN 51 SEATS.
  • BUT THE MOMENTUM IS IN OUR DIRECTION.
  • IOW: FOR THE DEMS TO GET AS MANY AS 52-54, THINGS HAVE TO BREAK IN THEIR DIRECTION - AND THAT IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY.
  • IT IS LIKELY FOR THINGS TI CONTINUE TO BREAK IN THE GOP'S DIRECTION;
  • HENCE MY PREDICTION: WE TAKE BOTH BODIES.

No comments:

Post a Comment