Monday, September 24, 2012

QUESTION: IF YOU POLLED 48 DEMOCRATS AND 42 REPUBLICANS AND 10 INDEPENDENTS, THEN WOULD OBAMA WIN?

ANSWER: YES, OF COURSE.

EXAMPLE:
"Poll shows Obama up in Ohio 51-46" 
"The party breakdown of the randomly selected respondents:
48 percent Democrats,
42 percent Republicans,
10 percent independents. "
THEY OVER-SAMPLED DEMS BY SIX SO THEREFORE, OBAMA "LEADS" ROMNEY BY SIX.

DUH.

ONE PROBLEM:

THAT'S NOT THE LIKELY PARTY ID SPREAD OF THE VOTER TURNOUT IN 2012 IN OHIO.

OR NATIONALLY.

BY ALL INDICATIONS, FEWER OBAMANUTZ WILL TURN OUT THIS YEAR AS OPPOSED TO 2008 - AND SINCE ROMNEY WILL GET MORE INDEPENDENTS THIS TIME, ROMNEY WILL WIN BY 6%.

AND THE ABOVE POLL - ONCE IT'S DECODED - CONFIRMS THAT.

SO DON'T LET THE FAKE - UN-DECODED - POLLS GET YOU DOWN.

IOW:

ILLEGITIMUM POLI NON CARBORUNDUM.


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