NATE SILVER: "G.O.P. Senate Odds Improve"

G.O.P. Senate Odds Improve for Third Consecutive Week ---By NATE SILVER

Democrats are on the verge of locking up several Senate races in the Northeast, including one in Connecticut that some analysts had considered a toss-up. But Republicans have gained ground overall in this week’s Senate forecast by virtue of improved polling in Nevada and West Virginia. Their odds of taking over the Senate on Nov. 2 have now improved to 24 percent — up from 22 percent last week and 15 percent three weeks ago, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast model.

... Eastern states, however — ordinarily solidly Democratic — were always something of the rainbow over the horizon for Republicans: states that might have been winnable if Democrats were to suffer losses of catastrophic proportions. But those states were not the most essential to their chances to taking over the Senate. Closer to the frontier, instead, are a set of six states — West Virginia, Nevada, Illinois, Washington, Colorado, and California — where Republican odds are notably stronger. Were Republicans to win five of the six states, they would claim control of the Senate...

IMHO: THE GOP STILL HAS A CHANCE IN CONNECTICUT AND WASHINGTON.

AND MAYBE END UP WITH 52 SEATS.

MAYBE IT WILL END UP WITH 50-50 - AND THEN WE HAVE TO GET JOE LIEBERMAN AND/OR BEN NELSON TO SWITCH PARTIES.