IRAN, ISRAEL AND OBAMA: INSTABILITY AND ASYMMETRY IN A 3-WAY GAME OF CHICKEN

WEEKLY STANDARD:

Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Admiral Mike Mullen told a forum at Columbia University yesterday, "Iran getting a nuclear weapon would be incredibly destabilizing. Attacking them would also create the same kind of outcome...In an area that's so unstable right now, we just don't need more of that."

But Mullen's formulation of geostrategic equivalance ignores a massive difference between the two outcomes: Even assuming the degree and kind of "destabilization" would be the same in both the cases of attack and appeasement (which I don't think would be so), one scenario--attack--leaves Iran without nuclear weapons, at least for now; the other--appeasement--means Iran would have nuclear weapons going forward.

Which unstable outcome is less damaging to U.S. interests?

I think the answer is pretty clear: An attacked Iran that does not have nukes.

THE ONLY WAY TO GUARANTEE A DELAY OF AN IRANIAN NUKES IS TO ATTACK THEM - AND THE SOONER THE BETTER.

• THE LOWER OBAMA IS IN THE POLLS, THE MORE LIKELY OBAMA IS TO DO WHAT MUST BE DONE, (THOUGH HE WILL ONLY DO IT TO HELP HIMSELF AND THE DEMOCRATS IN THE POLLS/ELECTION).

• IT'S THEREFORE A 3-WAY GAME OF CHICKEN BETWEEN IRAN, ISRAEL AND OBAMA.

• OBAMA WOULD LIKE ISRAEL TO DO IT ASAP, SO HE COULD HAVE HIS CAKE AND EAT IT TOO: BY PRIVATELY APPLAUDING ISRAEL AND PUBLICLY SCOLDING THEM AND SIDING ONCE AGAIN WITH THE MUSLIMS.

IF OBAMA REALLY WANTED REGIME CHANGE IN IRAN, THEN HE WOULD HAVE BEEN MORE SUPPORTIVE OF THE POST-"ELECTION"REBELLION LAST YEAR.

OBAMA PREFERS BEING COZY WITH THE CURRENT REGIME AND AN IMAGINARY "STABILITY" HE THINKS HE CAN ACHIEVE VIA DIPLOMACY - A STABILITY HE THINKS CAN BE ATTAINED BY SCREWING ISRAEL.

YES: OBAMA IS A WALT-MEARSHEIMERIST THROUGH AND THROUGH:

• LIKE ALL ANTI-ZIONISTS AND ALL LEFTISTS, OBAMA THINKS WW4 IS CHIEFLY A RESULT OF THE ISRAELI-ARAB CONFLICT,

• AND HE THINKS THE CONFLICT COULD BE EASILY ENDED IF ONLY ISRAEL WOULD MAKE MORE CONCESSIONS.

OBAMA AND THE LEFT BELIEVE THIS DESPITE

• THE GAZA WITHDRAWAL

AND DEADLY FRONTS IN WW4 THAT STRETCH FROM

• THE PHILIPPINES
• TO THAILAND
• AND AFGHANISTAN
• AND ALGERIA
• AND MOROCCO
• AND NIGERIA
• AND A SCORE OF OTHER PLACES WHERE THERE ARE
• NO F*CKING JEWS
• AND NO F*CKING ZIONISTS
• AND NO F*CKING ISRAELIS
• AND NO F*CKING REPUBLICANS
• AND NO F*CKING NEO-CONS
• AND NO F*CKING RACIST TEABAGGERS.

IN OTHER WORDS: THEIR ANALYSIS OF THE NATURE OF WW4 AND THE NATURE OF THE ENEMY IS ALL WRONG.

THAT'S WHY NOTHING GOOD CAN COME OF IT.

THERE'S A SOLUTION: VOTE GOP THIS NOVEMBER.

WE CAN SUFFOCATE OBAMA'S IDIOTIC AND DANGEROUS ADMINISTRATION RIGHT THEN AND THERE.