WASH EX:
Each week Gallup publishes a breakdown of its presidential job approval rating, broken down by demographic groups. Here's the latest one, released yesterday.
Among what groups has Barack Obama's approval rating fallen to 50 percent or below? Several. First is among married people, where the president has a 47 percent approval rating. Then there are men, among whom Obama has a 50 percent rating. And people over 65, among whom he has a 48 percent rating. And white people, at 46 percent.
If you're a political independent, you don't approve of Obama, either; he's at 46 percent with that group. Same if you go to church weekly; Obama's rating among regular churchgoers is at 45 percent. So from Gallup, these are the groups among whom Obama is at 50 percent or below:Married 47
Men 50
Over 65 48
White 46
Independents 46
Weekly church 45
South 49
Some college 50
Republicans 20
Conservatives 28Those are Obama's weak spots. But what about his strong points? Among the groups in which he has an approval rating of 60 percent or higher are people age 18-29, at 63 percent; unmarried people, at 63 percent; blacks, at 92 percent; Hispanics, at 69 percent; other non-whites, at 73 percent; people with graduate study beyond a college degree, 60 percent; and people who make less than $2,000 a month, at 64 percent. Here's the list:
Unmarried 63
18-29 63
Black 92
Hispanic 69
Other non-white 73
East 61
Graduate study 60
Less than $2,000/month 64
Democrats 86
Liberals 88
THESE RESULTS HOW EXACTLY WHERE THE GOP MUST IMPROVE.
THEY CAN, TOO.
EASILY.
HERE'S HOW:
- EMPHASIZE THE SOCIAL ISSUES ON WHICH BLACKS AND HISPANICS AGREE WITH THE GOP: NO GAY MARRIAGE; SCHOOL VOUCHERS.
- EMPHASIZE THE FACT THAT OBAMACARE WILL FORCE GOOD STRONG HEALTHY YOUNG PEOPLE STARTING OUT AT NEW LOWER-PAYING JOBS (POORER PAYING THAN THE JOBS THEY MAY GET IN 5-10 YEARS, THAT IS) TO BUY HEALTHCARE.
- TO HOLD ON TO AND GROW THE INDEPENDENTS - ALL THE GOP HAS TO KEEP DOING IS PROVING HOW OBAMA ISN'T REALLY AS MODERATE OR CENTRIST AS HE CLAIMED DURING THE CAMPAIGN. IOW: OBAMA LIED TOP THEM.
I HAVE ALSO BEEN PUSHING FOR THE GOP TO PROMOTE A "NEW URBAN AGENDA" FOR 5 YEARS.
- IF THE GOP COULD CARRY SEVERAL CITIES, THEN THEY WIN THE NATIONAL ELECTIONS EASILY.
- CARRYING CITIES WHICH HAVE BEEN "OWNED AND OPERATED" BY DEMOCRATS SHOULD BE EASY - BASED ON HOW LOUSY THEY'RE ALL DOING.
- UNFORTUNATELY, THESE CITIES ARE ONE-PARTY TOWN WHICH HAVE INCREDIBLY CORRUPT GOVERNMENT AND POWERFUL MACHINES, AND THAT MAKES IT A TOUGH PROPOSITION DESPITE THE PPOR RSULTS THE MACHINESA AFCTUALLY BRONG TO CITIZENS LIVING BENEATH THEM.
You are right, we have some convincing to do. However, we're going to win big in 2010 simply by retaking conservative districts, there are 4 or 5 wacko dems in conservative strongholds in NY. They don't have a chance in getting reelected.
ReplyDeleteGOOD. BUT THE GOP NEEDS TO BUILD A BIGGER PARTY BASED ON POSITIVES.
ReplyDeleteHere's the issue that will clench it: immigration. Yes, it will drive away some Hispanics, but legal immigrants find illegal immigration to be an enormous affront to their struggle. It also gets blacks on board, because blacks lose the most jobs to illegal immigrants. I have personally swayed a couple of young blacks over to our side with this issue. That was where Bush messed up. Only his staunch enemies were in favor of his amnesty bill in 2007.
ReplyDeleteAnd stress social issues, because blacks and Hispanics tend to be socially conservative. Maybe throw Linda Chavez on the ticket or appoint her to another high office. I love that chick. Make Thomas Sowell Secretary of the Treasury.
Obama may win this for us. We just can't let the liberal media decide who our candidates will be. We need HAWKS. No more compassionate conservatism. We need someone like Mitch Daniels, who will cut and privatize the government, then move on to eliminating unconstitutional laws.