WILL PAKISTAN BECOME ANOTHER IRAN (CIRCA 1979) OR MORE LIKE POST-WAR IRAQ OR POST-HAMAS GAZA?

DUNNO. BUT THERE ARE FIVE OR SIX SCARY OUTCOMES AND ONLY ONE GOOD ONE - SO THE ODDS ARE AGAINST US.

• BHUTTO, SHARIF AND AL QAEDA AND THE TALIBAN ARE ALL MAKING TROUBLE. BHUTTO AND SHARIF ARE ALLIES OF THE TALIBAN AND AL QAEDA.
  

• AND MUSHARRAF SEEMS MORE ISOLATED THAN EVER.

BUSH AND CONDI SHOULD BE CONCENTRATING THEIR EFFORTS ON PAKISTAN AND ON THE MALIKI GOVERNMENT IN BAGHDAD, AND NOT IN ANNAPOLIS - AND NOT ON EFFORTS TO GIVE THE PALESTINIANS A STATE.

• IN GENERAL, BUSH'S RECENT EFFORTS (EXCEPT FOR THE SURGE) MAKE ABSOLUTELY NO SENSE.
• FOCUSING ON PALESTINE AND IGNORING PAKISTAN AND BAGHDAD IS STUPID. AND RISKY.